These are the ten predictions made by Vinod Khosla for the upcoming decades:
These are the ten predictions made by Vinod Khosla for the upcoming decades:
One of Open AI's original supporters, billionaire venture
capitalist Vinod Khosla, has since supported his investment philosophy with ten
predictions about what the world might look like in the ensuing decades. Khosla
outlined a number of changes he sees in the upcoming years, including the use
of machine robots to free up the lowest 50% of the most despicable jobs, the
replacement of coal with fusion in 50 years, and the development of artificial
intelligence-based "near free" medical professionals and educators.
"My investment philosophy is based on about ten
predictions I have made about the state of the world in the next few decades.
In a series of posts on the social media platform X, formerly known as Twitter,
Kosla discussed how technology (AI and beyond) is the only tool we have to
reinvent the societal infrastructure in order to distribute the resources
enjoyed by 10% of the planet to the remaining 90%.
"If we let it, the need to work could vanish in a few
decades. It would be possible to enrich the human experience both materially
and metaphorically. In addition to learning and doing what we love while
maintaining a higher standard of living, we'll have more agency, self-efficacy,
and fulfillment. People will have the freedom to pursue their interests rather
than just what is necessary to provide for their families. Excellent for the
world's poorest 3 billion inhabitants in particular. However, we can create
barriers or lose our resolve to get there," Khosla remarked.
Prediction 1:
We will be able to
augment our human professionals to improve accessibility and care with
Al-based, near-free doctors, lawyers, and tutors for every citizen of the
world, provided there are no political barriers.
Most medical professionals, according to Khosla, are not
experts in AI and are unable to forecast the potential applications of AI by
2030–35. Since my initial article on AI in medicine in 2012." I have
discovered that they are largely incorrect. Humans do not understand the
exponential nature of technology; the capabilities of smart technologies in
2050 (hardware, software, testing) are difficult to imagine, just as they were
unthinkable 20 years ago for smartphones as we know them today," the
speaker stated.
Even the best software engineers are not qualified to predict
where technology will go in 20 years, not to mention doctors who don't know
much about the pace of innovation and the mechanisms of innovation and
opportunities in these areas. Remember how radiologists were skeptical about AI
at first? Today, JAMA (JAMA) accepts that AI is equal to humans on some
radiological interpretation tasks, Khosla said. In 2016, Khosla published a
lengthy public paper outlining his ideas on how AI would transform the practice
of medicine and turn it into a science of medicine. It has stood the test of
time; we have roughly predicted the current evolution and we have developed
dozens of technologies with AI in the ways we have SPECULATED.
Prediction 2:
To replace animal protein,
we could have more efficient plant protein sources and much better fertilizers.
Why do we raise cows on Alfalfa, which has RuBisCO, to eat
their protein?
Why don't we just eat the refined Alfalfa RuBisCO and get
the protein directly?
Why does RuBisCO have so much abundance on Earth?
RuBisCO is found in most green plants.
What is RuBisCO?
Rubisco is an enzyme that plays a vital role in
photosynthesis. It catalyzes the conversion of atmospheric carbon dioxide into
energy-rich molecules called corbondioxide. It also plays a role in
light-independent photosynthesis, including carbon fixation.
Prediction 3:
In the majority of cities, we can replace a large number of
vehicles. "The traffic is driving me crazy but I'm not meeting someone
that doesn't feel the same way." You're not able to change the width of
streets, it's just a linear variable. The solution has got to be autonomous
personal rapid transit (PRT) that fits in bicycle lane-width tracks with
on-demand, point-to-point PRT and increases passenger throughput to that of
light rail," Khosla said.
Prediction 4:
Within 15 years, we
can fly the Mach5 planes that carry us from New York to London within 90
minutes of using Sustainable Aviation Fuel.
Prediction 5:
In 25 years there could be a billion bipedal robots (a
million in 10 years). This will create a new sector that is much larger than
the current car industry. We could free people from the bottom 50 percent of
bad jobs, including workers at factories, farmers and more. You'd get yours,
I'm getting mine. This is going to totally change how we communicate with the
Physical World.
Prediction 6:
In natural language alone, there could be a billion
programmers. The "craft" of programming would be abandoned and the
entire field made available to those without a basic degree in Computer
Science. How an entire industry could be shaken up is just one of many
examples.
Prediction 7:
A world where we can discover more resources than we consume
in the next few decades. "There is much written about shortages of
lithium, cobalt, copper and the like by pessimists. This isn't a failure of
what we have here. This is a failure of what we were able to discover. It could
also be altered," he went on.
Prediction 8:
By 2050, we'll be able to replace all coal plants. I'm
betting on the fusion. At the same time, he added, if we stop
"shortsightedly dismantling these factories and installing fusion
boilers," it would give us an opportunity to use current energy
infrastructure from coal.
Prediction 9:
There would be plenty of music and entertainment, and it
would be personalised. Content creation is going to be commoditized, but that's
not going to change the relationship between celebrities and consumers. As a
separate experience, this "phenomenon" would exist. "We can't be
sure how, but I think this will democratise access to all sorts of things like
sports commentary and music creation." And of course, it's going to make
all forms of entertainment more personalised, and it's going to make it easier
for a lot of creators to do it!" he laughed.
Prediction 10:
If we can find and scale up the best technologies for
cement, steel, agriculture, transport, power production, HVAC etc., carbon
dioxide emission may be a smaller problem than previously thought but it still
remains an issue. Most of these efforts are not going to yield the desired
results, but enough will be achieved for carbon emissions problems in critical
areas. He went on to say that, in 2014, we could choose to make the world
utopian or dystopian, and that we were already betting on the utopian version.
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